ARLINGTON, Va. – The U.S. military plans to recruit 141,000 Afghan police and troops to build up a force large enough to take over the nation’s security. Military leaders say they’ll meet that recruitment goal by October 2011, but the challenge of crafting a professional army out of a population with soaring illiteracy and attrition rates still lies ahead.
The NATO training mission is responsible for training Afghan National Security Forces, which include national police and national army, to take over national security from U.S. and coalition troops. It is a daunting task that will extend next year’s recruitment deadline, as NATO members try to rid Afghan forces of corruption, drug abuse, Taliban infiltrators and wage theft, said Lt. Gen. William Caldwell IV, commander of NATO training mission.
President Barack Obama set a deadline of July 2011 to start pulling U.S. troops out of the country, but, under Caldwell’s timeline, Afghan forces will not have enough training by then to take over any large-scale security responsibility.
Caldwell did not provide any concrete dates for Afghan forces to take over the country’s security during his Monday briefing to reporters the Pentagon, saying only that NATO leaders “are aware of the date” set by Obama but that developing a professional Afghan force will require a protracted commitment.
NATO exceeded this year’s recruitment goals three months ahead of schedule with more than 57,000 personnel, and projects around 70,000 by the end of the year. High attrition rates, however, could hamper future recruitment efforts. Attrition, or the number of security personnel who desert or drop out, reached 47 percent last month in the Afghan National Police, a level Caldwell called “unacceptable,” although still lower than its peak of 70 percent.
Some Afghan troops drop out to join insurgency groups or take jobs with private security companies that promise better pay. In some areas of the country, Afghan security personnel have reported not receiving paychecks for months at a time, Caldwell said.
Training Afghan security forces,
by the numbers:
15 months needed to reach NATO recruitment goals
141,000 recruits needed to build a force that can take over nation’s security
$10 billion annual U.S. commitment to train security forces
86 percent of recruits are illiterate
9 percent of recruits tested positive for drug use
$165 monthly salary for Afghan troops
47 percent attrition rate in the Afghan army
NATO needs another 56,000 troops to meet its goal of 305,000 personnel, but Caldwell set the goal of 141,000 recruits to account for attrition.
NATO strikes that have mistakenly killed Afghan security forces in recent month may contribute to attrition rates. Since November, NATO friendly fire has killed 32 Afghan security personnel. Most recently, three Afghan police were killed in a NATO operation on Aug. 20 in the northern province Jawzjan.
NATO troops have caused far fewer casualties by friendly fire this year, in part due to a U.S. directive that limits troops’ ability to use weapons in the presence of civilians. But when incidents are given enough attention by the Afghan government or media, friendly-fire casualties fuel resentment against NATO troops, said Michael O’Hanlon, a national security and defense policy expert at the Brookings Institute.
“Every single time there is a tragedy, it sets things back,” O’Hanlon said.
NATO trainers are also combating dismal literacy rates, which average just 14 percent to 18 percent across entry-level positions and have rendered security forces corrupt and incompetent, Caldwell said. NATO set up a mandatory literacy program now attended by 27,000 new recruits, and plans call for another 100,000 recruits to complete the classes by next June. The program will put recruits at a third-grade reading level.
“We’re not trying to make high school graduates here,” Caldwell said. “We start establishing accountability, and that’s critical. How do you expect a soldier to account for his weapon if they can’t even read the serial number?”
Training for Afghan forces costs the U.S. about $10 billion annually – a sum that happens to equal Afghanistan’s gross domestic product. After the October 2011 recruiting goals are reached, U.S. funding for Afghan security forces is expected drop to about $6 billion, according to O’Hanlon. Sustaining Afghan security forces will remain an international responsibility for many years to come, and the U.S. will provide most of the funding, O’Hanlon said.
“It’s going to be a U.S. burden for a while,” O’Hanlon said.